What is the Bitcoin rainbow chart?

A long-term BTC price view with bands drawn around a logarithmic regression fit. Each band shows where price sits relative to its long-run trend.

How are the bands calculated?

We fit log(price) as a linear function of log(days since Bitcoin's earliest available price), then draw bands at fixed multiples of the fit's standard deviation above and below the fit line.

Should I trade based on it?

No. It is a visualization of historical context, not a signal. Bitcoin can — and has — spent long periods in any band. Not investment advice.

Long-term view

Bitcoin Rainbow Chart

A log-regression view of Bitcoin's full history. Bands describe where price sits relative to its long-run trend — not where it's headed.

Bitcoin price

$86,596.74

Current band

Warming up

Data range

2015 – 2026

Fire saleDeep discountAccumulateFair valueCruisingWarming upGetting hotOverheatingSell the news

Bands are drawn at fixed offsets of the residual standard deviation from a linear fit of log(price) against log(days). The labels are our own and describe distance from trend — nothing more. This chart is not investment advice. Crypto is volatile; only invest what you can afford to lose.

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FAQ

What is the Bitcoin rainbow chart?: A long-term BTC price view with bands drawn around a logarithmic regression fit. Each band shows where price sits relative to its long-run trend.
How are the bands calculated?: We fit log(price) as a linear function of log(days since Bitcoin's earliest available price), then draw bands at fixed multiples of the fit's standard deviation above and below the fit line.
Should I trade based on it?: No. It is a visualization of historical context, not a signal. Bitcoin can — and has — spent long periods in any band. Not investment advice.